A Compartmental Model for Assessing Effects of COVID-19 Vaccination in Thailand

نویسندگان

چکیده

A dynamical model for COVID-19 spread relating to non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination is mathematically generated by adding a gradual compartment the susceptible population considering only symptomatic infectious stage. In our model, there are seven compartments dividing given into , vaccinated src=image/17628733_02.gif>, exposed src=image/17628733_03.gif>, infected src=image/17628733_04.gif>, quarantined src=image/17628733_05.gif>, recovered src=image/17628733_06.gif> death src=image/17628733_07.gif> groups, respectively. Then, theoretically analysis investigating free endemic equilibrium points, computing reproduction number of this denoted as src=image/17628733_08.gif> using next generation matrix. If src=image/17628733_09.gif>, then transmission increases exponentially depends on vaccine efficacy. On other hand, if src=image/17628733_10.gif>, occurs disease eradication. The risk from infection can be importantly reduced whenever intake vaccines exceeds one dose. numerical results reveal that nonpharmaceutical ways administered effective against current variants COVID-19, additional efforts such third booster shot should considered implemented greatly mitigate risks emerging virus. Moreover, combining different types appeared possible way give better protection well.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Universal journal of public health

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2331-8880', '2331-8945']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.13189/ujph.2022.100607